September fight predictions.

[Igor]

Originally Posted by cardstars

Guzmans last handful of opponents have had iron chins keep in mind. I can see him overwhelming Campbell, and ill be going for the mid rounds tko personally. It is bold but Guzman will be looking to make an impact and surely Nate will have no problem standing and trading with him. I see Guzman getting the better of it and either Campbells chin cracking or a stoppage

Guzman isn't featherfisted like most people believe, but I would be very surprised if he stopped Campbell. The thing about Campbell is that he was weight draining like crazy at 130 for way too long, which led to some bad performances at that time. At 135, ever since the Zegan fight, Campbell has been very motivated and fought well. He's talked about how he's gotten his life straightened out during the last two years and how he is finally able to be at his best. Apparently, his training camp for the Diaz fight was the first long, complete training camp he's had in his career. He seems to be very motivated and I would say that the chances of Campbell coming in looking past Guzman or not being in 100% shape mentally/physically are fairly small.

Saying all that though, I still heavily favor Guzman (who's had personal problems to deal with recently which hopefully won't affect him) to beat Campbell by an 8-4 or wider type of decision. Guzman's stamina is still a question mark and Campbell will probably push him harder than any opponent has in the past. I'm going to make a huge analysis thread about this fight pretty soon.


I'm still not sure who to favor in the Casa-JMM fight. It's a strange situation. Casa is nearly shot and I don't think he's even a top 20 H2H P4P fighter. The 130 JMM is still easily top 10, but 135 is a big jump for him, especially since he can still make weight fine at SFW and is only moving up because the big names are there. Casa is a stylistic nightmare for JMM. There's absolutely no doubt a prime Casa dominates him. But one question is, how much did the Katsidis fight take out of Casa? Katsidis isn't a big puncher IMO, but Casa's chin is extremely vulnerable to any kind of power shots nowadays and his reflexes have faded. JMM will have some success when being aggressive because of this. Casa's straight left obviously isn't as fast as Pac's, but in some ways it's sneakier and I think he'll be able to land it more than Pac did, especially since JMM will be a lot more offensive than usual. Pac dropped JMM when he surprised him with it and Casa could do the same. Cardstars made a good point about JMM's stamina being a lot better, but I think this fight will be a chess match (where Casa dictates the pace) with brief moments of war, so JMM's stamina advantage might not matter a whole lot. If I had to pick someone to win, I would favor Casa in a fight where he could lose more rounds but score a KD or two, but I'll make a real pick after watching the Casa-Katsidis and JMM-John fight again. I'm cheering for Marquez though and it would be terrible to see him lose again at this stage of his career.


Diaz-Katsidis is a fight that I could only see going one way.. Diaz destroying Katsidis brutally. Katsidis has one advantage in this fight, power. But Diaz has a great chin and is very tough. Plus, I don't think Katsidis' power is as good as most people believe it is, so it's really not a significant advantage. Katsidis is a shaky-chinned, jab-less, all out brawler who doesn't fight for 3 minutes of every round, has terrible defense, bad balance, and skin that cuts very easily. Diaz is a strong, relentless pressure fighter who swarms his opponents on the inside with accurate, quick combinations and works behind a jab pretty consistently. Katsidis will be forced to fight going backwards, which will make him completely ineffective since he has no ability to fight that way. He will panic after being overwhelmed by Diaz's pressure and end up trying to outbrawl Diaz, which will not work IMO and just put him in a situation where he gets hurt by punches he doesn't see coming. Diaz by stoppage is the only outcome I could see here.. most likely in the early-mid rounds. I don't think this fight will be competitive at all.

[Benny Blanco]

The month of august has been one of the most boring months we have had in a long while in boxing september will more than make up for it.

[Brooklyn1550]

Originally Posted by BENNY BLANCO

The month of august has been one of the most boring months we have had in a long while in boxing september will more than make up for it.

If memory serves me correctly, August 2007 was a really slow month as well. And like last year, Calderon and Cazares will be the first of many intriguing matchups that will allow boxing to emerge from this little hiatus. The rest of the 2008 is why boxing is such a great sport to follow.

[Igor]

Originally Posted by brooklyn1550

If memory serves me correctly, August 2007 was a really slow month as well. And like last year, Calderon and Cazares will be the first of many intriguing matchups that will allow boxing to emerge from this little hiatus. The rest of the 2008 is why boxing is such a great sport to follow.

September-November will be insane.. I just checked the fightnews schedule to refresh my memory and saw a ton of great matchups I forgot about. Even ESPN/Telefetura have interesting fights coming up. Kirkland-Cortes is a 50/50 fight IMO. Hopefully none of these will get cancelled/postponed like last fall.

[Sir Amsterdam]

Originally Posted by brooklyn1550

If memory serves me correctly, August 2007 was a really slow month as well. And like last year, Calderon and Cazares will be the first of many intriguing matchups that will allow boxing to emerge from this little hiatus. The rest of the 2008 is why boxing is such a great sport to follow.

But in August 2007 we had an infinite amount of Calzaghe vs. Kessler/Taylor/Hopkins/Jones/Dawson etc. to have fun with and CHJ leading the comedy pack.

[Pimp C]

Diaz by late round TKO
I'll need more time to study JMM-Casa and Nate-Guzman fights

[acb_]

Originally Posted by cardstars

Right but JMM is the better counterpuncher in my book. Very close and tough fight to call, but at the end of the day JMM is nowhere near shot while Casa is arguably already there. Casa is still cagey, but he isn't sharp enough to outpoint JMM imo. JMM will be beating him to the punch and will have the better stamina. If I had to guess I think that rounds 10-12 will determine the winner of this fight, and Casa will be very tired while JMM will still be in the great shape he always is.

Great call!